Arbeloa Reportedly Has Two Games to Save His Fulham Job After Six Winless Matches

Six games into his first Premier League job, Alvaro Arbeloa is reportedly down to his last two. Fulham are bottom of the table with two points from six matches, and The Standard reports the board has given their manager the fixtures against Hull City and Coventry City to save his position, Sports Mole reports. The claim is a report, not a club statement: Fulham have said nothing publicly, and Arbeloa, asked about his future after Saturday’s defeat, said he does not feel fear. Both things can be true at once, and usually are, about a fortnight before a sacking.

What exactly is being reported?

A two-match deadline tied to two specific opponents. According to The Standard, Arbeloa has been given just two matches to save his job, and failure to beat at least one of Hull and Coventry, the other newly promoted sides, could lead to his removal, Sports Mole reports. The choice of opponents is the substance of the story. A board can forgive losing to Chelsea, as Fulham did 3-2 on the opening day, and can even take encouragement from a 0-0 draw at Liverpool. What it cannot wave away is a newly promoted side with the division’s worst record failing to beat the other promoted sides at the moment the table starts to harden. Fulham’s season is following the pattern that got Osasuna’s Jagoba Arrasate brought back within two years of leaving in Spain this week: short appointments, quickly regretted.

How did Fulham get to the bottom?

By losing games late. Fulham led at Ipswich on Saturday and lost 2-1, conceding an 88th-minute equaliser and a stoppage-time winner, EPL Index reports. The Sun counts four of their six league matches in which they have conceded in the final 15 minutes, a pattern that lands on the manager’s game management rather than his players’ effort. The raw record is two points from six, no league win, and the club’s only victory of the season a 3-2 League Cup win at West Ham, Sports Mole reports. Set against that are the draws with Liverpool and Manchester United, evidence the team can organise and compete, which is why the board’s reported deadline is two games rather than an immediate decision.

What has Arbeloa said?

Nothing that acknowledges a deadline. After Ipswich he said he never worries about his position and does not feel fear, that a coach cannot work while feeling it, and that what matters is Fulham’s position rather than his own, Liverpool.com reports. He pointed to things his players are doing that please him and accepted the team needs points. It is the standard holding statement of a manager in his position, and it sits alongside one earlier mark against him: a misconduct charge following last month’s draw with Manchester United, The Sun reports. The desk covered the same posture in Scotland this month, where Russell Martin’s filmed exchange with a Leicester fan turned a results problem into a job-security debate before his club had said a word.

Why is the Silva succession the backdrop?

Because Fulham chose this risk with their eyes open. Arbeloa replaced Marco Silva, who declined a new contract in the summer and took the Benfica job, The Sun reports, ending a long and popular tenure. The board then spent nearly 50 million pounds on three players Arbeloa knew from his time at Real Madrid, Sports Mole reports, recruitment that personalises the project: if the manager goes in October, the signings he vouched for stay. That is also why the reported condition is survivable. One win from Hull or Coventry meets it, the international rhythm of the season resets the conversation, and a manager who drew at Anfield has something to point to. The Premier League’s other pressure cases are no safer: Manchester United’s Michael Carrick and Tottenham’s Roberto De Zerbi are level with Arbeloa at the top of the sack-race coverage, and the weekend’s officiating rows, from Ryan Gravenberch’s split-verdict red card against Manchester City to a referee admitting a penalty was wrong in the Championship, keep moving the spotlight between dugouts.

What happens next?

Two fixtures decide it, on the reported terms. Hull and Coventry are the matches, and the bar is a win in at least one of them. Meet it, and Arbeloa gets the winter to turn two points into a survival campaign, with the late-collapse pattern as the thing he has to fix first. Miss it, and Fulham become the first Premier League club to change manager this season, six league games and one cup win into the project, with a squad partly built in their departing manager’s image. The club has confirmed none of this, which is normal: boards rarely announce deadlines, they announce decisions. The next announcement out of Craven Cottage, one way or the other, is the follow-up.